Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.805503 0.933239 1.071598 1.232211 1.413123 1.610187 1.840664
2024-12-22 0.613386 0.788814 0.995772 1.256186 1.573200 1.944569 2.410338
2024-12-29 0.508079 0.713862 0.974601 1.325011 1.778835 2.341521 3.085983
2025-01-05 0.407514 0.620794 0.909006 1.319537 1.880541 2.610544 3.620603
2025-01-12 0.330439 0.542340 0.845985 1.301595 1.954283 2.839852 4.112910
2025-01-19 0.273685 0.481382 0.795463 1.289397 2.027306 3.065907 4.609280
2025-01-26 0.237751 0.445192 0.774367 1.313934 2.149981 3.364406 5.220693
2025-02-02 0.206722 0.411073 0.750543 1.329034 2.256231 3.642570 5.816669
2025-02-09 0.179744 0.378922 0.724706 1.336114 2.347700 3.901438 6.396375
2025-02-16 0.161278 0.358810 0.715828 1.368500 2.479452 4.226934 7.091938
2025-02-23 0.142599 0.334939 0.696828 1.380530 2.577031 4.503020 7.724526
2025-03-02 0.119266 0.297483 0.647910 1.334002 2.570973 4.611623 8.097903
2025-03-09 0.108848 0.285739 0.646725 1.374819 2.720183 4.984755 8.920779
2025-03-16 0.098372 0.272043 0.640013 1.404587 2.852193 5.337590 9.730819
2025-03-23 0.093495 0.270375 0.657300 1.481658 3.074579 5.854829 10.838167
2025-03-30 0.081983 0.250545 0.633981 1.476123 3.143806 6.112376 11.522164
2025-04-06 0.070986 0.229687 0.605443 1.456542 3.183995 6.319901 12.129350
2025-04-13 0.061953 0.212007 0.581381 1.443170 3.233860 6.545500 12.776169
2025-04-20 0.056557 0.203236 0.576647 1.470227 3.364375 6.922719 13.705172
2025-04-27 0.051152 0.193275 0.567684 1.486869 3.474609 7.267571 14.591062
2025-05-04 0.045899 0.182589 0.555430 1.494669 3.566777 7.582653 15.436230
2025-05-11 0.042510 0.177036 0.555412 1.530333 3.718844 8.017686 16.517617
2025-05-18 0.038481 0.168445 0.546281 1.543577 3.824002 8.367462 17.455721